Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#194
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#206
Pace59.2#320
Improvement+0.1#169

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#194
Improvement-0.4#207

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#194
Improvement+0.5#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 269   @ Army L 78-84 54%     0 - 1 -8.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 15, 2014 323   The Citadel W 68-55 82%     1 - 1 +1.7 -5.7 -5.7
  Nov 25, 2014 83   @ Colorado L 53-68 17%     1 - 2 -6.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Nov 30, 2014 124   @ Texas Tech L 62-63 24%     1 - 3 +4.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Dec 03, 2014 351   Grambling St. W 59-34 98%     2 - 3 -3.0 -14.0 -14.0
  Dec 08, 2014 263   Nebraska Omaha W 77-61 74%     3 - 3 +7.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Dec 13, 2014 325   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-47 88%     4 - 3 +18.7 -7.1 -7.1
  Dec 20, 2014 110   UC Davis L 75-81 40%     4 - 4 -5.2 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 22, 2014 310   Jacksonville St. W 66-65 OT 83%     5 - 4 -10.9 -5.9 -5.9
  Dec 31, 2014 42   @ San Diego St. L 49-53 9%     5 - 5 0 - 1 +8.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Jan 03, 2015 259   @ Nevada L 62-80 53%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -20.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 07, 2015 346   San Jose St. W 78-56 93%     6 - 6 1 - 2 +3.7 -9.1 -9.1
  Jan 10, 2015 63   Colorado St. L 87-92 27%     6 - 7 1 - 3 -0.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 14, 2015 141   @ New Mexico L 48-60 27%     6 - 8 1 - 4 -7.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 17, 2015 122   @ Utah St. L 59-71 24%     6 - 9 1 - 5 -6.3 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 20, 2015 42   San Diego St. L 45-77 21%     6 - 10 1 - 6 -25.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Jan 24, 2015 51   Boise St. L 68-77 22%     6 - 11 1 - 7 -2.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Jan 28, 2015 346   @ San Jose St. W 66-52 84%     7 - 11 2 - 7 +1.5 -6.3 -6.3
  Jan 31, 2015 97   @ UNLV L 63-74 20%     7 - 12 2 - 8 -3.7 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 04, 2015 141   New Mexico W 53-49 48%     8 - 12 3 - 8 +2.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 07, 2015 112   Wyoming W 73-50 40%     9 - 12 4 - 8 +23.8 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 11, 2015 51   @ Boise St. L 42-67 10%     9 - 13 4 - 9 -12.9 +6.0 +6.0
  Feb 14, 2015 97   UNLV W 76-75 38%     10 - 13 5 - 9 +2.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Feb 21, 2015 63   @ Colorado St. L 53-66 13%     10 - 14 5 - 10 -2.6 +5.2 +5.2
  Feb 25, 2015 259   Nevada W 75-70 74%     11 - 14 6 - 10 -3.3 -4.1 -4.1
  Feb 28, 2015 122   Utah St. L 60-74 44%     11 - 15 6 - 11 -14.1 +0.0 +0.0
  Mar 04, 2015 189   @ Fresno St. L 66-68 38%     11 - 16 6 - 12 -0.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Mar 11, 2015 141   New Mexico W 68-61 37%     12 - 16 +8.7 +0.9 +0.9
  Mar 12, 2015 51   Boise St. L 68-80 15%     12 - 17 -2.8 +4.6 +4.6
Projected Record 12.0 - 17.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%